Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds · in lineup
MG Score
82
A-
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.5
Barrel%
23.5%
Hard Hit%
53%
Sweet Spot%
35%
xwOBA
0.491
xSLG
0.804
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
70%
21/30 games
AVG
.222
OBP
.378
SLG
.556
OPS
.933
HR
4
RBI
10
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5/29 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 5/27 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/26 | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Atlanta Braves · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.9 mph
Avg LA
14.1°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
1Double
8Single
23Out
64Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/21/2026 - 5/30/2026
Games: 9
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
B+Performance Score
74Exit Velo
92.6 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
63.6%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
26.5%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.542
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
31.8%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Hard Hit%, xwOBA
Areas for Improvement: Chase%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
113.3 mph
Launch Angle
14.2°
xBA
0.361
xSLG
0.935
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
45.5%
Fly Ball%
45.5%
Line Drive%
9.1%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.