Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RONALD ACUÑA JR.
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RONALD ACUÑA
JR.
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
56
Grade C
Matchup
VS Andrew Painter · RHP
90.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
67
VS
ERA
4.84
WHIP
1.22
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.6 | 86.3 |
| Barrel% | 20% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 42% | 37% |
| xwOBA | .398 | .344 |
| xSLG | .599 | .509 |
| Whiff% | 26% | 25% |
| Chase% | 35% | 40% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.6 avg EV · 20.3% barrel · 42% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Painter—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
86°
Wind
6 280°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+11%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:57 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game