Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Ronel Blanco
Houston Astros · Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 6.59 · WHIP 1.46 · K 19% · 6 starts
RONEL BLANCO
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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ER
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H
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RONEL
BLANCO
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam38%93 mph
Changeup31%85 mph
Slider21%86 mph
Matchup
VS CHW LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
6.59
WHIP
1.46
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.2% | 11% |
| Chase% | 22% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .383 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 33% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.0
K/GM
4.5
IP/GM
6.35
ERA
1.54
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 6 starts
0 of 6 starts over
Last 5: 6.35 ERA · 15% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHW—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
6 352°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-9%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 1:52 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.