Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ronel Blanco
Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox · Pitcher
ERA 7.71 · WHIP 1.07 · K 42% · 1 starts

RONEL BLANCO
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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RONEL
BLANCO
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Changeup30%85 mph
Curveball30%81 mph
4-Seam28%94 mph
Matchup
VS CHW LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
6
projected lineup
VS
ERA
7.71
WHIP
1.07
K%
42%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 31% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 17.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 47% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .659 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 38% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 63% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
8.0
K/GM
4.7
IP/GM
7.71
ERA
1.07
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
42% season K rate
Contact Suppression
38% barrel · 63% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 7.71 ERA · 42% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHW—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
1 232°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:26 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
