Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
RONNY MAURICIO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RONNY
MAURICIO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Zack Wheeler · RHP
89.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
53
VS
ERA
2.64
WHIP
0.95
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 92.8 | 83.3 |
| Barrel% | 50% | 0% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 23% |
| xwOBA | .487 | .291 |
| xSLG | .756 | .370 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 35% |
| Chase% | 80% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
92.8 avg EV · 50.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Wheeler0
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
9 226°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+15%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:32 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game