Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
RONNY SIMON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RONNY
SIMON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Dustin May · RHP
93.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
4.13
WHIP
1.27
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 79.3 | 87.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .243 | .358 |
| xSLG | .300 | .493 |
| Whiff% | 17% | 20% |
| Chase% | 17% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
79.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs May0
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:50 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game