Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Ryan Feltner
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 7.86 · WHIP 1.96 · K 15% · 11 starts
RYAN FELTNER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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RYAN
FELTNER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam32%95 mph
Changeup22%85 mph
Slider19%89 mph
Sinker15%94 mph
Sweeper9%80 mph
Matchup
VS NYY LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
7.86
WHIP
1.96
K%
15%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 28% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .345 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 5% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 27% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.4
K/GM
4.9
IP/GM
7.30
ERA
1.82
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
15% season K rate
Contact Suppression
5% barrel · 27% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 7.30 ERA · 18% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs NYY—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
6 278°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:00 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.