RYAN JOHNSON

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

RYAN

JOHNSON

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Cutter29%89 mph

Splitter27%85 mph

Sinker23%92 mph

Sweeper19%80 mph

Matchup

VS BAL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

6.60

WHIP

1.47

K%

17%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	8.7%	11%
Chase%	24%	28%
xwOBA-a	.407	.315
Barrel%-a	14%	8%
HardHit%-a	29%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.8

K/GM

4.5

IP/GM

7.25

ERA

1.66

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

17% season K rate

Contact Suppression

14% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 7.25 ERA · 14% K

2

2

8

3

6

1

5

4

3

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BAL—

Tonight's Park

HR

-2%

Hits

+3%

2B

-5%

3B

+32%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

89°

Wind

6 205°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+2%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:17 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.