Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ryan O'Hearn
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
49
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Mike Burrows · RHP · 89.9 mph avg
ERA
4.32
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.7
86.7
Barrel%
8.3%
10.0%
Hard Hit%
33%
25%
xwOBA
.320
.365
xSLG
.463
.525
Whiff%
20%
15%
Chase%
31%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Mike Burrows.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.7
Barrel%
8.3%
Hard Hit%
33%
Sweet Spot%
19%
xwOBA
0.320
xSLG
0.463
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
64%
16/25 games
AVG
.297
OBP
.333
SLG
.568
OPS
.901
HR
3
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/16 | Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/14 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/13 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/12 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/10 | San Francisco Giants | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/9 | San Francisco Giants | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/8 | San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ryan O'Hearn
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.3 mph
Avg LA
10.8°
Hard-hit %
47%
Barrel %
18%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
4Single
27Out
64Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.