Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RYAN O'HEARN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RYAN
O'HEARN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Clay Holmes · RHP
88.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
32
VS
ERA
3.21
WHIP
1.16
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 99.1 | 88.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .199 | .313 |
| xSLG | .397 | .415 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 19% |
| Chase% | 0% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
99.1 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Holmes0
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
11 255°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+4%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:54 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game