Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 12:15 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Ryan Waldschmidt

Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

MG Score
58
C

Tonight's Matchup

vs Eric Lauer · LHP · 86.6 mph avg
ERA
4.85
WHIP
1.27
K%
13%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.3
85.7
Barrel%
14.6%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
40%
29%
xwOBA
.413
.368
xSLG
.581
.554
Whiff%
31%
11%
Chase%
23%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Eric Lauer.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.3
Barrel%
14.6%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
56%
xwOBA
0.413
xSLG
0.581

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
60%
12/20 games
AVG
.265
OBP
.306
SLG
.353
OPS
.658
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Los Angeles Dodgers0000000
5/31Seattle Mariners3000120
5/30Seattle Mariners3100010
5/29Seattle Mariners5100020
5/27San Francisco Giants3000120
5/26San Francisco Giants4100010
5/25San Francisco Giants5000020
5/24Colorado Rockies4201011
5/23Colorado Rockies4200020
5/22Colorado Rockies3200011

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Ryan Waldschmidt
Arizona Diamondbacks · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
85.0 mph
Avg LA
22.4°
Hard-hit %
33%
Barrel %
22%
Outcomes (27 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
1
Double
2
Single
6
Out
18
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.