RYAN WEATHERS

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

RYAN

WEATHERS

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup29%86 mph

Sinker28%94 mph

Sweeper21%81 mph

Slider12%86 mph

4-Seam9%95 mph

Matchup

VS TOR LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

2.86

WHIP

1.36

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	9.3%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.304	.315
Barrel%-a	4%	8%
HardHit%-a	37%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.2

K/GM

5.9

IP/GM

1.23

ERA

1.06

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

4% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 1.23 ERA · 19% K

6

3

6

6

5

7

4

6

4

4

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TOR—

Tonight's Park

HR

+25%

Hits

-6%

2B

-8%

3B

-52%

K

+2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

79°

Wind

13 232°

Rain

80%

HR Adj

+13%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:40 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.