Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Salvador Perez
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
MG Score
40
F
Tonight's Matchup
62
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Andrew Abbott · LHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.48
WHIP
1.05
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.8
93.9
Barrel%
10.8%
21.1%
Hard Hit%
39%
53%
xwOBA
.333
.516
xSLG
.511
.834
Whiff%
25%
19%
Chase%
44%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Andrew Abbott: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.8
Barrel%
10.8%
Hard Hit%
39%
Sweet Spot%
34%
xwOBA
0.333
xSLG
0.511
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
41%
9/22 games
AVG
.243
OBP
.282
SLG
.432
OPS
.714
HR
2
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Texas Rangers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | New York Yankees | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Yankees | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Salvador Perez
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.3 mph
Avg LA
14.4°
Hard-hit %
40%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
6Triple
0Double
3Single
22Out
69Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/23/2026 - 5/31/2026
Games: 8
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
33Exit Velo
88.5 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
37.5%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
44.1%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.335
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
29.2%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: No standout metrics
Areas for Improvement: Chase%, Exit Velo
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
108.9 mph
Launch Angle
16.5°
xBA
0.299
xSLG
0.489
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
37.5%
Fly Ball%
29.2%
Line Drive%
20.8%
Pop Up%
12.5%
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.