SANDY ALCANTARA

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

SANDY

ALCANTARA

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker29%97 mph

Cutter19%90 mph

Changeup18%91 mph

4-Seam17%98 mph

Sweeper13%84 mph

Matchup

VS MIL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

56

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.43

WHIP

1.19

K%

20%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	21%	25%
SwStr%	11.3%	11%
Chase%	34%	28%
xwOBA-a	.310	.315
Barrel%-a	6%	8%
HardHit%-a	26%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.8

K/GM

6.7

IP/GM

3.24

ERA

1.23

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

20% season K rate

Contact Suppression

6% barrel · 26% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.24 ERA · 21% K

3

4

5

7

7

6

4

3

8

8

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+8%

Hits

-6%

2B

-17%

3B

-9%

K

+11%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.