SEAN BURKE

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

SEAN

BURKE

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam34%95 mph

Slider18%86 mph

Knuckle-Curve17%77 mph

Cutter17%89 mph

Sinker14%95 mph

Matchup

VS STL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

3.58

WHIP

1.25

K%

25%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	20%	25%
SwStr%	9.4%	11%
Chase%	26%	28%
xwOBA-a	.362	.315
Barrel%-a	18%	8%
HardHit%-a	45%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.8

K/GM

4.2

IP/GM

5.57

ERA

1.81

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

25% season K rate

Contact Suppression

18% barrel · 45% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 5.57 ERA · 19% K

5

10

10

4

8

2

4

3

6

2

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs STL—

Tonight's Park

HR

-11%

Hits

+3%

2B

+3%

3B

-6%

K

-9%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

83°

Wind

6 325°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+2%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 7:57 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.