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MLB / Research
SEAN MURPHY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
SEAN
MURPHY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
43
Grade D
Matchup
VS Brandon Williamson · LHP
88.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
69
VS
ERA
5.56
WHIP
1.53
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.3 | 86.9 |
| Barrel% | 15% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 43% | 42% |
| xwOBA | .385 | .394 |
| xSLG | .592 | .603 |
| Whiff% | 30% | 22% |
| Chase% | 31% | 23% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.3 avg EV · 15.0% barrel · 43% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Williamson—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
70°
Wind
5 35°
Rain
79%
HR Adj
-10%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:06 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game