SEAN SULLIVAN

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

SEAN

SULLIVAN

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam59%88 mph

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

100

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.67

K%

17%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	14%	25%
SwStr%	8.2%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.112	.315
Barrel%-a	11%	8%
HardHit%-a	11%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.0

K/GM

3.0

IP/GM

0.00

ERA

0.67

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

17% season K rate

Contact Suppression

11% barrel · 11% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 1 starts

0 of 1 starts over

Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 17% K

2

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-8%

Hits

-3%

2B

-15%

3B

+16%

K

+3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

68°

Wind

3 139°

Rain

100%

HR Adj

-3%

K Adj

-7%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:07 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.