SETH JOHNSON

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

SETH

JOHNSON

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam44%97 mph

Slider29%89 mph

Matchup

VS HOU LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

60

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

7.24

WHIP

1.61

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	25%	25%
SwStr%	12.7%	11%
Chase%	41%	28%
xwOBA-a	.331	.315
Barrel%-a	10%	8%
HardHit%-a	37%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.6

K/GM

1.8

IP/GM

5.00

ERA

1.33

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

10% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 5.00 ERA · 21% K

1

1

4

1

4

1

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs HOU—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

+3%

2B

+5%

3B

0%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

66°

Wind

5 171°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:54 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.