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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Shane Baz

Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox · confirmed starter · Pitcher

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Velo
90.4
Spin
2421
Whiff%
16.4%
SwStr%
7.4%
Chase%
27.7%
xERA
0.00
xwOBA-a
0.399
Barrel%-a
18.8%
HardHit%-a
44%
1st-Pitch K%
89%

Tonight's Park · Fenway Park

Slight pitcher park
HR
-9%
Hits
+8%
2B
+24%
3B
-6%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K inverted)

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast refreshed daily.