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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
SPENCER HORWITZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Spencer Horwitz
SPENCER
HORWITZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
30
Grade F
Exit Velo86.2Barrel%2%Hard Hit%29%xwOBA.263Sweet Spot%40%Whiff%21%Chase%28%
Matchup
VS Randy Dobnak · RHP
87.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
9
Terrible
VS
ERA
2.93
WHIP
1.21
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo86.289.0
Barrel%2%13%
Hard Hit%29%39%
xwOBA.263.363
xSLG.339.499
Whiff%21%19%
Chase%28%29%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
86.2 avg EV · 1.7% barrel · 29% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Dobnak—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
70°
Wind
4 358°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-21%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:24 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game