Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
SPENCER HORWITZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
SPENCER
HORWITZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
58
Grade C
Matchup
VS Logan Henderson · RHP
89.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
2.66
WHIP
0.91
K%
32%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.5 | 83.3 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 17% |
| xwOBA | .115 | .214 |
| xSLG | .150 | .269 |
| Whiff% | 20% | 22% |
| Chase% | 56% | 36% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.5 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Henderson0
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:16 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game