Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Spencer Horwitz
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
67
B-
Tonight's Matchup
51
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Mike Burrows · RHP · 89.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.32
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.2
86.7
Barrel%
13.5%
10.0%
Hard Hit%
41%
25%
xwOBA
.368
.365
xSLG
.532
.525
Whiff%
9%
15%
Chase%
26%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Mike Burrows.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.2
Barrel%
13.5%
Hard Hit%
41%
Sweet Spot%
35%
xwOBA
0.368
xSLG
0.532
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
85%
17/20 games
Last 30
79%
23/29 games
AVG
.333
OBP
.415
SLG
.611
OPS
1.026
HR
3
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Spencer Horwitz
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.0 mph
Avg LA
14.8°
Hard-hit %
27%
Barrel %
7%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
7Single
22Out
68Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.