Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:30 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

MG Score
60
C+

Tonight's Matchup

vs Steven Matz · LHP
ERA
5.48
WHIP
1.43
K%
14%
Velo
86.6
Whiff%
11%
xwOBA-a
.560
Career vs Steven Matz: 5 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.200
OPS
1.000
HR
1
H
1
K
0

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
89.5
Barrel%
16.7%
Hard Hit%
43%
Sweet Spot%
48%
xwOBA
0.347
xSLG
0.523

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
50%
13/26 games
AVG
.278
OBP
.297
SLG
.472
OPS
.770
HR
1
RBI
3
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Tampa Bay Rays4000020
5/31Chicago White Sox4201010
5/30Chicago White Sox4200010
5/29Chicago White Sox3000110
5/28Los Angeles Angels4000020
5/27Los Angeles Angels4311010
5/26Los Angeles Angels4000040
5/24Baltimore Orioles1101000
5/22Baltimore Orioles4100000
5/21Cleveland Guardians4100000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Spencer Torkelson
Detroit Tigers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.5 mph
Avg LA
20.1°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
25%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
6
Triple
0
Double
9
Single
18
Out
67
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.