TANNER GORDON

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

TANNER

GORDON

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam53%93 mph

Changeup24%85 mph

Slider15%87 mph

Curveball8%82 mph

Matchup

VS BAL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

28

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.66

WHIP

1.34

K%

16%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	16%	25%
SwStr%	9.7%	11%
Chase%	40%	28%
xwOBA-a	.342	.315
Barrel%-a	10%	8%
HardHit%-a	41%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.2

K/GM

5.1

IP/GM

4.21

ERA

1.25

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

16% season K rate

Contact Suppression

10% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 4.21 ERA · 15% K

4

7

1

2

4

3

2

4

2

5

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BAL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+7%

Hits

+16%

2B

+17%

3B

+103%

K

-8%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

80°

Wind

3 242°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:40 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.