TARIK SKUBAL

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

TARIK

SKUBAL

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam29%98 mph

Slider25%90 mph

Matchup

VS CHW LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

65

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

2.97

WHIP

0.92

K%

28%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	24%	25%
SwStr%	11.3%	11%
Chase%	33%	28%
xwOBA-a	.296	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

6.6

K/GM

6.1

IP/GM

2.97

ERA

0.92

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

28% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 2.97 ERA · 28% K

7

10

5

7

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHW—

Tonight's Park

HR

-10%

Hits

-2%

2B

-8%

3B

+42%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

68°

Wind

11 289°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+17%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:10 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.