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MLB / Research
Tarik Skubal
Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.28 · WHIP 0.96 · K 31% · 11 starts
TARIK SKUBAL
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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TARIK
SKUBAL
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam42%97 mph
Changeup29%88 mph
Slider14%91 mph
Sinker9%97 mph
Curveball6%81 mph
Matchup
VS CIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.28
WHIP
0.96
K%
31%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 13.2% | 11% |
| Chase% | 39% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .353 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
7.6
K/GM
6.6
IP/GM
2.18
ERA
0.94
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
31% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.18 ERA · 30% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
89°
Wind
9 108°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 3:19 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.