Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Taylor Clarke
Arizona Diamondbacks · Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks · Pitcher
ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.00 · K 24% · 10 starts
TAYLOR CLARKE
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
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TAYLOR
CLARKE
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Slider32%89 mph
Changeup29%90 mph
Sinker24%95 mph
Cutter14%94 mph
Matchup
VS PHI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
41
projected lineup
VS
ERA
4.50
WHIP
1.00
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .499 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 15% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.0
K/GM
1.1
IP/GM
5.06
ERA
0.94
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
15% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 5.06 ERA · 25% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs PHI—
Tonight's Park
HR
-14%
Hits
+6%
2B
+16%
3B
+89%
K
-6%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.