Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
THOMAS SAGGESE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
THOMAS
SAGGESE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
93.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
4
VS
ERA
4.45
WHIP
1.04
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 0.0 | 89.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 45% |
| xwOBA | .000 | .336 |
| xSLG | .000 | .500 |
| Whiff% | 50% | 19% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
0.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ashcraft0
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
91°
Wind
6 0°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+13%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:48 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game