Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
TJ Friedl
Cincinnati Reds · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
MG Score
26
F
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.8
Barrel%
9.1%
Hard Hit%
24%
Sweet Spot%
27%
xwOBA
0.292
xSLG
0.409
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
56%
14/25 games
AVG
.120
OBP
.185
SLG
.120
OPS
.305
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | New York Mets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | St. Louis Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Cleveland Guardians | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/13 | Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/12 | Washington Nationals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 5/9 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/8 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
TJ Friedl
Cincinnati Reds · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
84.2 mph
Avg LA
14.4°
Hard-hit %
33%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (95 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
6Single
17Out
70Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.