Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Trevor Larnach
Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
MG Score
41
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Davis Martin · RHP
ERA
1.95
WHIP
0.84
K%
32%
Velo
90.6
Whiff%
33%
xwOBA-a
.202
Career vs Davis Martin: 11 PA · Low sample
AB
8
AVG
.250
OPS
.705
HR
0
H
2
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
85.2
Barrel%
10.2%
Hard Hit%
25%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.305
xSLG
0.416
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
54%
14/26 games
AVG
.306
OBP
.342
SLG
.444
OPS
.787
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Chicago White Sox | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Trevor Larnach
Minnesota Twins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.4 mph
Avg LA
12.5°
Hard-hit %
32%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (88 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
1Double
6Single
22Out
57Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.