Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
TREVOR STORY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
TREVOR
STORY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Bryan Woo · RHP
94.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
46
VS
ERA
5.06
WHIP
1.26
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.3 | 92.4 |
| Barrel% | 17% | 16% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 54% |
| xwOBA | .265 | .390 |
| xSLG | .424 | .609 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 19% |
| Chase% | 33% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.3 avg EV · 16.7% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Woo0
Tonight's Park
HR
-9%
Hits
+8%
2B
+24%
3B
-6%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
6 117°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-5%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:19 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game