Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Trey Yesavage
Toronto Blue Jays · Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays · Pitcher
ERA 3.56 · WHIP 1.00 · K 24% · 10 starts

TREY YESAVAGE
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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H
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TREY
YESAVAGE
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam48%94 mph
Slider26%87 mph
Splitter26%83 mph
Matchup
VS CIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
58
projected lineup
VS
ERA
3.56
WHIP
1.00
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 32% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 15.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 38% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .386 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 25% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 25% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
4.1
IP/GM
3.48
ERA
1.02
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
25% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 3.48 ERA · 30% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:17 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.