TROY MELTON

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

TROY

MELTON

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam34%96 mph

Cutter27%93 mph

Slider12%88 mph

Sinker11%96 mph

Splitter9%88 mph

Curveball6%78 mph

Matchup

VS LAA LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

82

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

1.82

WHIP

0.81

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	28%	25%
SwStr%	14.1%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.251	.315
Barrel%-a	6%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

6.4

K/GM

5.7

IP/GM

1.88

ERA

0.77

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

6% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 8 starts

0 of 8 starts over

Last 5: 1.88 ERA · 29% K

3

1

5

5

5

6

7

9

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs LAA—

Tonight's Park

HR

+13%

Hits

-2%

2B

-13%

3B

-3%

K

+5%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

76°

Wind

9 192°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 2:10 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.