TYLER ALEXANDER

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

TYLER

ALEXANDER

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup24%85 mph

Sweeper21%81 mph

4-Seam21%92 mph

Cutter18%89 mph

Sinker16%92 mph

Matchup

VS BOS LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

66

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.09

WHIP

1.18

K%

17%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	23%	25%
SwStr%	10.9%	11%
Chase%	28%	28%
xwOBA-a	.271	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	30%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

0.8

K/GM

1.2

IP/GM

4.50

ERA

1.17

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

17% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 4.50 ERA · 16% K

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs BOS—

Tonight's Park

HR

+15%

Hits

-1%

2B

-4%

3B

-21%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:21 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.