Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
TYLER SODERSTROM
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
TYLER
SODERSTROM
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
56
Grade C
Matchup
VS Tyler Holton · LHP
86.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
100
VS
ERA
2.19
WHIP
1.14
K%
10%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 91.8 | 96.6 |
| Barrel% | 14% | 17% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 67% |
| xwOBA | .379 | .546 |
| xSLG | .529 | .871 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 10% |
| Chase% | 23% | 36% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.8 avg EV · 13.6% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Holton0
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
96°
Wind
11 193°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:38 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game