Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tyler Tolbert
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
Tonight's Matchup
28
Matchup
Avoid
vs Andrew Abbott · LHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
1.48
WHIP
1.05
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
63.9
93.9
Barrel%
0.0%
21.1%
Hard Hit%
0%
53%
xwOBA
.085
.516
xSLG
.114
.834
Whiff%
50%
19%
Chase%
50%
30%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Andrew Abbott.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
63.9
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
0%
Sweet Spot%
0%
xwOBA
0.085
xSLG
0.114
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
10%
1/10 games
Last 20
30%
6/20 games
Last 30
23%
7/30 games
AVG
.167
OBP
.167
SLG
.167
OPS
.333
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/24 | Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4/18 | New York Yankees | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/15 | Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/14 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/5 | Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/2 | Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4/1 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Tyler Tolbert
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
80.7 mph
Avg LA
-26.5°
Hard-hit %
50%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (4 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
1Out
3Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.