Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Victor Caratini
Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
MG Score
60
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Davis Martin · RHP · 90.6 mph avg
ERA
1.95
WHIP
0.84
K%
32%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.8
85.6
Barrel%
4.8%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
45%
27%
xwOBA
.373
.202
xSLG
.549
.260
Whiff%
26%
33%
Chase%
29%
43%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Davis Martin: 5 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.200
OPS
.600
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.8
Barrel%
4.8%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
45%
xwOBA
0.373
xSLG
0.549
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
40%
8/20 games
Last 30
37%
11/30 games
AVG
.182
OBP
.270
SLG
.303
OPS
.573
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Houston Astros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Victor Caratini
Minnesota Twins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.1 mph
Avg LA
10.9°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (88 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
1Single
19Out
67Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.