Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 10:32 AM ET

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles · in lineup

MG Score

54

C-

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo

89.6

Barrel%

7.2%

Hard Hit%

41%

Sweet Spot%

30%

xwOBA

0.302

xSLG

0.386

Spray Chart

Spray Rain

Streaming 100 balls…

Spray Read

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · bats RHB

vs Pitcher Hand

Window

Avg EV

89.3 mph

Avg LA

11.0°

Hard-hit %

40%

Barrel %

11%

Outcomes (100 balls)

Home Run

2

Triple

0

Double

3

Single

24

Out

71

Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

Mongoose Bets — Advanced MLB Analytics & Betting Intelligence

Mongoose Bets runs 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per MLB game to expose where sportsbook lines disagree with the model. We don't sell picks — we show the math behind every edge.

Today's MLB game predictions, player-prop projections, NRFI picks, home run odds, batter-vs-pitcher matchups, bullpen fatigue, ballpark factors, and umpire tendencies — all derived from the same simulation, updated every morning.

Browse Mongoose Bets:

This site requires JavaScript for the interactive simulation views. Enable JavaScript to access live edges, distribution charts, and the full Mongoose Bets dashboard.

21+ · For entertainment purposes only · Not professional betting advice · Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700