WALBERT UREÑA

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

WALBERT

UREÑA

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup37%92 mph

Sinker32%99 mph

4-Seam19%99 mph

Sweeper11%89 mph

Matchup

VS NYY LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

34

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.67

WHIP

1.27

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	10.2%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.344	.315
Barrel%-a	10%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.8

K/GM

4.6

IP/GM

3.91

ERA

1.39

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

10% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.91 ERA · 24% K

5

6

3

5

5

7

2

5

7

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYY—

Tonight's Park

HR

+13%

Hits

-2%

2B

-13%

3B

-3%

K

+5%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

78°

Wind

9 222°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.