Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
WALKER JENKINS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
WALKER
JENKINS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Erick Fedde · RHP
88.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
72
VS
ERA
3.78
WHIP
1.23
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 100.0 | 86.1 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .623 | .379 |
| xSLG | 1.041 | .582 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 18% |
| Chase% | 13% | 23% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
100.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Fedde—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
71°
Wind
7 145°
Rain
80%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:40 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game