WILBER DOTEL

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

WILBER

DOTEL

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam50%99 mph

Slider23%89 mph

Cutter21%93 mph

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

55

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

7.88

WHIP

1.94

K%

22%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	20%	25%
SwStr%	9.4%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.269	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	36%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.8

K/GM

1.7

IP/GM

4.32

ERA

1.44

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

22% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 4.32 ERA · 25% K

2

5

1

1

3

2

2

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-8%

Hits

-3%

2B

-15%

3B

+16%

K

+3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

74°

Wind

8 114°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.