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MLB / Research
Will Warren
New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.62 · WHIP 1.35 · K 24% · 11 starts
WILL WARREN
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
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H
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WILL
WARREN
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam32%94 mph
Sweeper21%84 mph
Sinker20%93 mph
Changeup18%88 mph
Curveball6%82 mph
Matchup
VS MIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
46
VS
ERA
3.62
WHIP
1.35
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .365 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 15% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 49% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
5.2
IP/GM
1.38
ERA
1.15
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
15% barrel · 49% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 1.38 ERA · 24% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
65°
Wind
6 339°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+4%
K Adj
-1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 8:00 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.