Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Willson Contreras
Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
57
C
Tonight's Matchup
68
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Shane Baz · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.7
96.5
Barrel%
15.9%
11.1%
Hard Hit%
40%
56%
xwOBA
.457
.358
xSLG
.692
.475
Whiff%
23%
21%
Chase%
36%
33%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Shane Baz: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.7
Barrel%
15.9%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
37%
xwOBA
0.457
xSLG
0.692
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
65%
15/23 games
AVG
.424
OBP
.472
SLG
.636
OPS
1.109
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Atlanta Braves | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Willson Contreras
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.5 mph
Avg LA
14.4°
Hard-hit %
46%
Barrel %
21%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
10Triple
0Double
6Single
25Out
59Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.