Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
WYATT LANGFORD
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
WYATT
LANGFORD
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
42
Grade D
Matchup
VS Nick Martinez · RHP
87.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
33
VS
ERA
3.51
WHIP
1.02
K%
14%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.8 | 87.8 |
| Barrel% | 5% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 36% | 37% |
| xwOBA | .317 | .332 |
| xSLG | .430 | .449 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 12% |
| Chase% | 28% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.8 avg EV · 5.5% barrel · 36% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Martinez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+15%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
-21%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:51 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game