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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
YAINER DIAZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Yainer Diaz
YAINER
DIAZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
49
Grade D
Exit Velo93.4Barrel%13%Hard Hit%51%xwOBA.321Sweet Spot%24%Whiff%19%Chase%45%
Matchup
VS Daniel Lynch IV · LHP
89.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
54
Average
VS
ERA
5.72
WHIP
1.38
K%
12%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo93.489.3
Barrel%13%11%
Hard Hit%51%42%
xwOBA.321.358
xSLG.449.514
Whiff%19%10%
Chase%45%27%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.4 avg EV · 12.7% barrel · 51% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs IV—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
93°
Wind
14 100°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-3%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game