Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Yohan Ramírez
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Pitcher
ERA 0.75 · WHIP 1.75 · K 25% · 10 starts

YOHAN RAMÍREZ
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

YOHAN
RAMÍREZ
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sweeper35%85 mph
4-Seam24%97 mph
Sinker24%97 mph
Curveball15%84 mph
Matchup
VS CIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
58
projected lineup
VS
ERA
0.75
WHIP
1.75
K%
25%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 24% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .332 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 32% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.8
K/GM
1.1
IP/GM
1.69
ERA
1.69
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
25% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 32% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 1.69 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
5 27°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-18%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:35 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
