Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
YOHANDY MORALES
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
YOHANDY
MORALES
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Grant Holmes · RHP
88.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
76
VS
ERA
3.33
WHIP
1.31
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 103.0 | 92.5 |
| Barrel% | 67% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 45% |
| xwOBA | .963 | .340 |
| xSLG | 1.702 | .471 |
| Whiff% | 40% | 26% |
| Chase% | 33% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
103.0 avg EV · 66.7% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Holmes—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
+4%
2B
-3%
3B
-8%
K
-11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
4 84°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-15%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:15 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game