Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Yusei Kikuchi
Los Angeles Angels · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 6.25 · WHIP 1.58 · K 22% · 8 starts
YUSEI KIKUCHI
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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YUSEI
KIKUCHI
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam46%96 mph
Matchup
VS PHI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
VS
ERA
6.25
WHIP
1.58
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 24% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 13.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 38% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .522 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 24% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 65% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.2
K/GM
4.3
IP/GM
5.91
ERA
1.45
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
24% barrel · 65% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 8 starts
0 of 8 starts over
Last 5: 5.91 ERA · 22% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs PHI—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
11 214°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+23%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 2:45 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.