Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Zach Neto
Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
46
D
Tonight's Matchup
81
Matchup
Strong matchup
vs Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP · 88.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.17
K%
9%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.8
94.3
Barrel%
13.0%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
39%
56%
xwOBA
.400
.512
xSLG
.632
.773
Whiff%
27%
10%
Chase%
32%
20%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.200
OPS
.533
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.8
Barrel%
13.0%
Hard Hit%
39%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.400
xSLG
0.632
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
60%
12/20 games
AVG
.289
OBP
.372
SLG
.553
OPS
.925
HR
2
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/29 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Athletics | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Zach Neto
Los Angeles Angels · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.7 mph
Avg LA
22.5°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
9Single
21Out
66Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.