Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
ZACH NETO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
ZACH
NETO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
65
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Elmer Rodríguez · RHP
91.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
79
VS
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.52
K%
15%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.3 | 90.5 |
| Barrel% | 13% | 21% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .377 | .394 |
| xSLG | .573 | .606 |
| Whiff% | 32% | 30% |
| Chase% | 41% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.3 avg EV · 13.3% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rodríguez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
9 222°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:12 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game