Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Zack Wheeler
Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.07 · WHIP 1.40 · K 33% · 11 starts

ZACK WHEELER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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ZACK
WHEELER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam31%95 mph
Sinker19%95 mph
Splitter15%87 mph
Sweeper14%81 mph
Cutter10%90 mph
Curveball10%80 mph
Matchup
VS LAA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
5.07
WHIP
1.40
K%
33%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 26% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.2% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .380 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 18% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 40% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.6
K/GM
5.1
IP/GM
6.75
ERA
1.82
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
33% season K rate
Contact Suppression
18% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
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Model Prob
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Fair Odds
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EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 6.75 ERA · 23% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAA—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
11 214°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+23%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 8:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
