“FanDuel is out of step on this one. +150 beats the +120 you'll find most places.”

The Warthog
He roots through every sportsbook for the best number on the board. About two hours before kickoff he posts the price that beats the market, and every pick is graded in public when the game ends. Losses stay on the page.
The record starts with his first graded pick.
Today's picks
One pick a day is public. The rest unlock with a free account.“Caesars is hanging +121. Everybody else is closer to +110. I'll take the better number.”
“Everybody else is charging -132 for the Yankees ML but BetRivers is sitting at -124. The Warthog sniffed it out so you don't have to.”
Sign in free to see the side, the price and the book.
He doesn't guess. He shops.
Before every game he checks the prices at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics and BetRivers: moneyline, spread and total (moneylines only in baseball), plus player props in the NFL, NHL and MLB playoffs. On a game line, one book’s price has to beat the rest of the market by at least 1.5 points of implied probability. On a prop, where the books keep a bigger cut, it has to beat the market’s fair price (the market with that cut taken out) by at least 1.5%. The biggest discount on the board is his pick: one per game, five a day at most.
A better price is not a sure winner. It means paying less than the rest of the market for the same bet, and the record shows how that plays out.
Every pick, graded
Losses stay on the page.Get his picks
Free account
- Every Warthog pick, about two hours before kickoff
- The best price and the book that has it
- The full graded record
MongooseBets All Access
- The boards he picks from
- Every edge, every board, all day
- Projections, props and live odds
