Free while he builds his record.Every pick, with a free account.
The Warthog: a squinting grey warthog in a green bookie’s eyeshade, with a price tag on his ear
The Mongoose's brother

The Warthog

He roots through every sportsbook for the best number on the board. About two hours before kickoff he posts the price that beats the market, and every pick is graded in public when the game ends. Losses stay on the page.

Follow @warthogbets
Record0-0
Units—
ROI—
Last 10—
Beat the close—
Avg price edge—

The record starts with his first graded pick.

Today's picks

One pick a day is public. The rest unlock with a free account.
NHL · 7:00 PM ETGame on
Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jack Roslovic Under 1.5 Shots on Goal+150
at FanDuel · 1 unit · posted 5:00 PM ET
Live · 3rd 17:48
MTL2–1TOR
Roslovic: 1 SOG
No room left

“FanDuel is out of step on this one. +150 beats the +120 you'll find most places.”

NHL · 8:00 PM ETGame on
New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins
Under 5.5+121
at Caesars · 1 unit · posted 5:22 PM ET
Live · 2nd 12:54
NYR0–0BOS
0 total · 5 to spare

“Caesars is hanging +121. Everybody else is closer to +110. I'll take the better number.”

MLB · 8:00 PM ETGame on
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
New York Yankees ML−124
at BetRivers · 1 unit · posted 5:22 PM ET
Live · Top 4th
BOS0–1NYY
Winning by 1

“Everybody else is charging -132 for the Yankees ML but BetRivers is sitting at -124. The Warthog sniffed it out so you don't have to.”

NHL · 10:30 PM ETFree account
Chicago Blackhawks @ Vegas Golden Knights
Pick hidden
1 unit · posted 8:30 PM ET

Sign in free to see the side, the price and the book.

How he picks

He doesn't guess. He shops.

Before every game he checks the prices at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics and BetRivers: moneyline, spread and total (moneylines only in baseball), plus player props in the NFL, NHL and MLB playoffs. On a game line, one book’s price has to beat the rest of the market by at least 1.5 points of implied probability. On a prop, where the books keep a bigger cut, it has to beat the market’s fair price (the market with that cut taken out) by at least 1.5%. The biggest discount on the board is his pick: one per game, five a day at most.

A better price is not a sure winner. It means paying less than the rest of the market for the same bet, and the record shows how that plays out.

See every edge on the boards

Every pick, graded

Losses stay on the page.
Graded picks land here after each final.

Get his picks

Free account

Free
  • Every Warthog pick, about two hours before kickoff
  • The best price and the book that has it
  • The full graded record

MongooseBets All Access

$39/month
  • The boards he picks from
  • Every edge, every board, all day
  • Projections, props and live odds
Scratch for up to 50% off