Welcome to Mongoose Bets
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Mongoose Bets runs 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per MLB game to expose where sportsbook lines disagree with the model. We don't sell picks — we show the math behind every edge.
Today's MLB game predictions, player-prop projections, NRFI picks, home run odds, batter-vs-pitcher matchups, bullpen fatigue, ballpark factors, and umpire tendencies — all derived from the same simulation, updated every morning.
Beyond baseball: NFL weekly game simulations, player props and DFS; college football model-vs-market on every FBS game with team ratings; WNBA game and prop simulations; and PGA Tour outrights, head-to-heads and make-cut probability.
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