AJ BLUBAUGH

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

AJ

BLUBAUGH

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam55%96 mph

Sweeper26%86 mph

Changeup17%87 mph

Matchup

VS CHW LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

11

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

9.31

WHIP

1.76

K%

15%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	20%	25%
SwStr%	9.5%	11%
Chase%	25%	28%
xwOBA-a	.433	.315
Barrel%-a	19%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

0.6

K/GM

1.0

IP/GM

10.80

ERA

1.60

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

15% season K rate

Contact Suppression

19% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 10.80 ERA · 13% K

2

1

1

1

1

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHW—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

0%

2B

-4%

3B

-14%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

90°

Wind

10 129°

Rain

62%

HR Adj

+2%

K Adj

-10%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.