Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Carson Seymour
San Francisco Giants · Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.66 · WHIP 1.45 · K 14% · 11 starts
CARSON SEYMOUR
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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CARSON
SEYMOUR
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker40%97 mph
Cutter24%95 mph
Slider20%89 mph
4-Seam12%98 mph
Matchup
VS LAD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
43
VS
ERA
4.66
WHIP
1.45
K%
14%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 26% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 25% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .407 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 10% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 41% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.8
K/GM
1.0
IP/GM
1.80
ERA
0.40
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
14% season K rate
Contact Suppression
10% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 1.80 ERA · 27% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAD—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
60°
Wind
8 218°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+4%
K Adj
+4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:48 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.