Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
DYLAN BEAVERS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
DYLAN
BEAVERS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
48
Grade D
Matchup
VS Sean Burke · RHP
89.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
44
VS
ERA
2.70
WHIP
1.13
K%
29%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 0.0 | 87.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 44% |
| xwOBA | .000 | .348 |
| xSLG | .000 | .511 |
| Whiff% | 11% | 27% |
| Chase% | 36% | 39% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
0.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Burke0
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
3 136°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game