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Odds updated 11:47 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Jackson Jobe

Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers · Pitcher

ERA 0.00 · WHIP 0.40 · K 25% · 1 starts

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JACKSON JOBE
Over K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Jackson Jobe
JACKSON
JOBE
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam41%98 mph
Matchup
VS CHW LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
96
Fantastic
projected lineup
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.40
K%
25%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%22%25%
SwStr%11.3%11%
Chase%38%28%
xwOBA-a.341.315
Barrel%-a9%8%
HardHit%-a36%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
4.0
K/GM
5.0
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.40
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
25% season K rate
Contact Suppression
9% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 25% K
4
Season
Home
Last 5
vs CHW
Tonight's Park
HR
-10%
Hits
-2%
2B
-8%
3B
+42%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
6 78°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:47 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.